Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000999 0.001140 0.001282 0.001434 0.001593 0.001752 0.001925
2026-01-18 0.000780 0.000983 0.001193 0.001425 0.001672 0.001926 0.002205
2026-01-25 0.000568 0.000809 0.001069 0.001363 0.001683 0.002017 0.002389
2026-02-01 0.000421 0.000689 0.000989 0.001338 0.001726 0.002136 0.002598
2026-02-08 0.000316 0.000604 0.000941 0.001342 0.001793 0.002276 0.002825
2026-02-15 0.000237 0.000539 0.000907 0.001356 0.001868 0.002422 0.003055
2026-02-22 0.000177 0.000489 0.000887 0.001381 0.001952 0.002575 0.003290
2026-03-01 0.000113 0.000423 0.000840 0.001371 0.001993 0.002677 0.003467
2026-03-08 0.000057 0.000349 0.000777 0.001338 0.002004 0.002742 0.003601
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000309 0.000753 0.001348 0.002063 0.002860 0.003790
2026-03-22 0.000005 0.000262 0.000716 0.001340 0.002098 0.002948 0.003945
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000227 0.000692 0.001344 0.002146 0.003050 0.004114
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000172 0.000643 0.001332 0.002192 0.003169 0.004326
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000124 0.000598 0.001323 0.002241 0.003295 0.004547
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000065 0.000517 0.001261 0.002226 0.003345 0.004683
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000031 0.000467 0.001237 0.002255 0.003444 0.004874
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000012 0.000438 0.001240 0.002315 0.003579 0.005105
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000002 0.000418 0.001254 0.002387 0.003727 0.005350
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000406 0.001278 0.002472 0.003890 0.005610
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000373 0.001268 0.002512 0.003997 0.005806
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000329 0.001236 0.002521 0.004067 0.005957
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000312 0.001246 0.002584 0.004200 0.006179
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000285 0.001238 0.002621 0.004301 0.006364